Thursday, July 11, 2013

As Paper Gold Shorts Push All In China Buying Goes Parabolic

The following chart from U.S. Global Advisors is pretty amazing. The grey area in the chart shows total worldwide global gold production. That is new supply.

The red lines show the Shanghai gold physical delivery or a representation of China's gold accumulation. The blue line shows the COMEX physical delivery. The paper price of gold is set on the COMEX in America, which is controlled in the short term by the paper contract players.

After the gold smash beginning in April, you can see that China moved from a position of accumulating a large percentage of total mine production, as they have steadily over the past few years, to accumulating ALL of the global mine production. Click for larger image:


They have taken the recent gift provided by the paper shorts to wipe out all the new physical gold entering the market. Here is a quick update of how the paper shorts are currently set up at the moment. A sharp rise in prices could be a very big problem for the traders that have now moved all in betting on gold's continued decline from here:


On the COMEX exchange, it is widely known that the physical gold is just a fraction of the paper gold it backs, making the idea that gold prices are set by that exchange almost laughable. It is a game of musical chairs at the COMEX and the first sign of a run will wipe out their available physical gold instantly. In other words, they will have to "settle" contracts in paper, sending people a check in the mail at the time they will need their physical metal the most.

We have discussed this COMEX topic many times over the past few years so it is nothing new. What is new is what has occurred just this past week at the Brinks Depository. The CME is reporting they have had a 70% decline in their available physical metal, which is the cliff drop on the bottom side of the chart below.


Where has this metal gone? This is just a small taste of what is to come during the run on physical.

I have no idea how low gold will go before the paper price bottoms, but the scenario above which is the artificial paper price meeting what is actually taking place in the physical world, is what will set up the final super spike in prices.

h/t Money Morning, Zero Hedge, Jesse's Cafe Americain

1 comment:

  1. Do you compare these supply and paper-versus-metal calculations for gold with similar numbers for silver in a recent post somewhere?

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